Spanish GDP
Seen Falling; New Homes Sales Next
Spanish GDP to
continue falling; Greek 24 hour strike; UK CBI sales rose; Italian auction.
German CPI; US new home sales and oil inventories are next.
The greenback
consolidated Asian session gains in the ongoing session. European equities are
losing over 1.5% and the relative strength winner is GBP while EUR lags.
Spanish 10 year
yield continues to push higher, currently around 6.01%. The rise is attributed
to Bank of Spain monthly bulletin that suggest that GDP continued to fall in Q3
at significant pace. Meanwhile in Greece a 24 hour national strike to protest
against reforms and budget cuts in under way today. The government is expected
to announce these in the days ahead. EURUSD trades heavy near session lows
around 1.2865.
UK CBI realized
sales rose in September to 6 from previous -3 as retailers reported rise in
sales volume along with expectation that growth will strengthen next month.
EURGBP is under pressure, trading around 0.7945.
German CPI is
still being collected and final result should be announced at 8:00 am ET. Most
states that already published results saw annual inflation rate easing to 2% or
even below. General consensus is for CPI to slow to 2.0% from 2.1%.
Italy reached a
full take up as it sold 6 month BOT totaling EUR 9 bln. The average yield
declined to 1.503% from 1.585% but cover fell to 1.39 from 1.69. Italian 10
year yield rose to 5.18%.
The upcoming
session will bring new home sales due at 10:00 am ET that are anticipated to
rise in August to 380K from previous 372K. Considering how much oil prices have
fallen over the past week (WTI currently around 90.70) traders will take clues
for the next move from crude oil inventories that are due at 10:30 am. The
inventory is expected to shrink to 1.7M barrels from last week's 8.5M barrels.
Patrik Urban
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